The Matchday 3 Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Hamburg will take place on September 13 at the Allianz Arena in Munich. Bayern Munich vs. Hamburg: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Bayern Munich
In the last round, Vincent Kompany's side secured a 3-2 away victory against Augsburg. This result extended Bayern Munich's unbeaten run in the Bundesliga to 11 matches (8 wins, 3 draws). Moreover, in their last three league encounters, the team has scored at least three goals. However, they conceded for the first time in four previous Bundesliga games. In the standings, the Munich side confidently leads with six points. Notably, Bayern has scored nine goals in the current championship, making them the top scorers.
Ahead of this round, the club's lineup was strengthened by the addition of forward Nicolas Jackson, who is on loan from Chelsea.
- The team has won 14 of their last 16 home matches in the Bundesliga.
- Bayern players have scored at least three times in 13 of their last 16 home league matches.
- At least four goals have been scored in 5 of Bayern's last 7 home Bundesliga games.
Predicted lineup for Bayern Munich (4-5-1)
Manuel Neuer – Josip Stanisic, Jonathan Tah, Dayot Upamecano, Konrad Laimer – Luis Diaz, Leon Goretzka, Serge Gnabry, Joshua Kimmich, Michael Olise – Harry Kane.
Defenders Alphonso Davies and Hiroki Ito, as well as midfielder Jamal Musiala, will miss the game due to injuries.
Hamburg
Merlin Polzin's side suffered a 0-2 home defeat against St. Pauli in the last round. Since returning to the Bundesliga, Hamburg has yet to secure a victory (drawing with Borussia Monchengladbach in the first round) or score a goal. In the standings, the team is in 15th place with one point.
- The club has not won in 16 of their last 17 away Bundesliga matches (4 draws, 12 losses).
- The team failed to score in 6 of their last 8 away league games.
- Hamburg conceded exactly 1 or 2 goals in 7 of their last 10 away Bundesliga matches.
Predicted lineup for Hamburg (3-4-3)
Daniel Fernandes – Warmed Omari, Jordan Torunarigha, Daniel Elfadli – Giorgi Gocholeishvili, Nicolas Capaldo, Nikolai Remberg, Miro Muheim – Emir Sahiti, Ransford Königsdörffer, Alexander Rössing-Lelesiit.
Defender Giorgi Gocholeishvili will miss the match due to suspension.
Referee
Tobias Stieler (Germany)
Matches – 16 (Bundesliga, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 55;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.4;
Red cards shown – 3;
Average fouls per match – 20;
Penalties – 31%.
Bayern Munich vs. Hamburg: Match Prediction
The Munich side started the current championship with two victories and a goal difference of 9:2, and they will strive to build on this success at home. Bayern is very confident on their home turf and rarely slips up: they have won 14 of their last 16 home league matches. In nine of these cases, the team's advantage was at least three goals.
During their previous stint in the Bundesliga, Hamburg struggled in away matches: in their last 17 away games in the top German division, the team suffered 12 defeats. Moreover, the club has a poor record against Bayern on their home turf in head-to-head clashes: in the last eight meetings, Hamburg lost seven times with a margin of at least five goals.
I expect a convincing victory for Vincent Kompany's side. My prediction: Bayern with a handicap (-2.5)
